Trend Tracker warns of further decline


A comprehensive report on the UK car body repair market, published by independent research company Trend Tracker, has warned that a continued decline in repair capacity will lead to increased repair costs over the next five years.

The number of UK bodyshops has fallen by 20% over the last decade from 3,950 in 2008 to 3,162 in 2018, and Trend Tracker predicts a further decline over the next five years.

A shortage in repair capacity, combined with a 33.5% overall increase for insurance-related repair costs over the past five years, presents a significant risk for motor insurers profits in the years ahead.

Mark Bull said, ‘With the number of bodyshops continuing to decline, it appears imperative that insurance companies and claims solutions providers adopt a strategy to truly work with their supply chain to secure repair capacity over the forthcoming years.

‘It’s inevitable that repair costs will continue to rise but we believe that insurers need to act responsibly and focus their attention more on securing quality repair capacity for the safe repair of a vehicle and to provide the customer service aspects of a motor claim.’

Trend Tracker predicts that insurance-related repair costs will increase by a further 14% of the next five years.

‘We’ve taken a somewhat conservative view. Given the above-inflation increase that has taken effect over the past five-years, we believe that 14% is a conservative uplift that may well be exceeded. However, such above-inflationary repair cost pressures cannot continue at current rates, despite parts pricing and paint price increases, as accident damaged cars may become subject to becoming economic write-offs if the repair cost becomes too great.’

The cost of parts alone on insurance-related repairs has risen by 40% in the past five year period², which presents a concern for motor insurers. New technologies in vehicle design, including Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS), have had a bearing on driving up repair costs. A vehicle’s integral adaptive features, such as automate lighting, adaptive cruise control, lane departure warning systems, automatic lane centring, and so on, require technical repairs to be completed by highly competent staff and to be calibrated following an accident. This also presents bodyshops with a challenge due to a skills shortage, which only adds pressure onto labour costs.

‘This is why it’s critical for insurers to work with their body repair partners as it’s in everybody’s interest for bodyshops to attract and retain high calibre staff, ensuring that an insurer’s customer gets a safe repair.’

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